Political analysts tagged Colorado as one of the big five swing states in the 2008 presidential election and a predictor of how the nation would vote. An Obama win in the state could denote a shift in the Electoral College count seismic enough to deny McCain the presidency.
Polls through September 11 showed the Illinois Senator up by 3 points. Besting Senator McCain's national trend, Mr. Obama was winning men 49 to 46. His appeal to upscale whites,
Hispanics, Boulder liberals, and swing suburbanites was considered a threat to the one-time Republican state.
After revealing a 5 point lead in early August 2012, polls conducted September 11-17, 2012 showed Republican challenger Mitt Romney trailing President Barack Obama in Colorado by one point, 47 to 46.
The President gained ground on Mr. Romney on the issue of the economy.
Showing posts with label Gallup Daily Poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gallup Daily Poll. Show all posts
Wednesday
Saturday
Bickering and Bouncing
On September 8, 2008, David Remnick of The New Yorker wrote of the historic significance of the Barack Obama vs. Hillary Clinton Democratic Primary campaign: "No banality of cable news commentary - not even the mad bickering among the anchors on MSNBC - could eclipse the meaning and the emotion of their prolonged race, the Party's dramatic reconciliation, and Obama's fiercely eloquent acceptance speech."
In 2012, the Dem and GOP campaigns and party nominations are less historically significant, MSNBC had no bickering anchors (although Chris Matthews made some news), GOP presenters promoted themselves more than their candidate, and the media is abuzz with charges that President Obama's speech was "flat."
Post-convention poll numbers are already rolling in, and as of Friday, September 7, Gallup shows President Obama with a 4-point lead over Mitt Romney, 49% to 45%.
In 2012, the Dem and GOP campaigns and party nominations are less historically significant, MSNBC had no bickering anchors (although Chris Matthews made some news), GOP presenters promoted themselves more than their candidate, and the media is abuzz with charges that President Obama's speech was "flat."
Post-convention poll numbers are already rolling in, and as of Friday, September 7, Gallup shows President Obama with a 4-point lead over Mitt Romney, 49% to 45%.
Thursday
The Bounce
In 2008, the Republican National Convention wrapped up on September 4. Although the Gallup Daily Poll had shown Barack Obama leading John McCain prior to the GOP convention, the McCain-Palin ticket took a 3 to 5 point lead coming out of their convention.
The Obama-Biden ticket regained the Gallup lead in mid-September 2008 and did not relinquish it going into the election.
Today, the Gallup 7-Day Rolling Average shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney 47% to 46%. It appears that Romney received little-to-no poll "bounce" from his convention. Whether or not the Obama-Biden ticket receives a bounce from their convention (which ends today) will become apparent early next week.
The Obama-Biden ticket regained the Gallup lead in mid-September 2008 and did not relinquish it going into the election.
Today, the Gallup 7-Day Rolling Average shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney 47% to 46%. It appears that Romney received little-to-no poll "bounce" from his convention. Whether or not the Obama-Biden ticket receives a bounce from their convention (which ends today) will become apparent early next week.
Monday
BHO Leads Gallup Poll
The Gallup Poll conducted September 2 - 4, 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain, 48% to 44%.
Today, Gallup's 7-day rolling average shows Obama leading Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%.
The Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina begins its 3-night run tomorrow, Tuesday, September 4, 2012.
Today, Gallup's 7-day rolling average shows Obama leading Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%.
The Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina begins its 3-night run tomorrow, Tuesday, September 4, 2012.
Poll Data
In a July 2008 Washington Post-ABC News poll, Barack Obama topped John McCain on economic matters and other areas of domestic policy. Obama held an 8-point advantage overall.
Today, an average of all recent polls shows Obama with a 2.1% advantage over Mitt Romney. The economy is still a top issue, but unlike 2008's concern with gas prices, unemployment and jobs drive the narrative of the 2012 campaign.
For more polling data:
Today, an average of all recent polls shows Obama with a 2.1% advantage over Mitt Romney. The economy is still a top issue, but unlike 2008's concern with gas prices, unemployment and jobs drive the narrative of the 2012 campaign.
For more polling data:
- View an archive of Washington Post-ABC News Polls.
- Check the Real Clear Politics polls and averages here.
- And Gallup polling data is here.
Thursday
Obama Pulls Ahead
In the National Gallup Daily Poll for June 28-30, Barack Obama pulled ahead of John McCain 47% to 42%.
In the June 22-24 poll, Obama and McCain were tied at 45%.
In addition to the news of the day, the book King's Dream includes results from the Gallup Daily Poll during each month of the 2008 campaign.
Friday
All Tied Up
The National Gallup Daily Poll for June 22, 2008 showed Barack Obama and John McCain tied with 45% each.
Traditionally at this time of year, voters are winding up the school year and planning summer vacations. Many wait to start paying serious attention to presidential elections after Labor Day. Candidates spend the summer trying to define the other person, raise money, and take some time off for themselves.
The book, King's Dream, includes results from the Gallup Daily Poll during each month of the 2008 campaign.
Traditionally at this time of year, voters are winding up the school year and planning summer vacations. Many wait to start paying serious attention to presidential elections after Labor Day. Candidates spend the summer trying to define the other person, raise money, and take some time off for themselves.
The book, King's Dream, includes results from the Gallup Daily Poll during each month of the 2008 campaign.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)