Friday

Winning, Losing

At this time in 2008, the Obama campaign was surging, Wall Street was in crisis, and the McCain/Palin campaign was desperately attacking Obama's character and personal contacts ("palling around with terrorists"). It was beginning to look like the end for McCain.

Today, Mitt Romney is hoping to move up in the polls after a strong debate performance against an inexplicably "passive, distracted" Barack Obama on Wednesday night. But Nate Silver's Five Thirty Eight forecast still shows Obama with a strong lead in the electoral vote and an 87% chance of winning.

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